Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 13.830213 16.148184 18.676293 21.630646 24.980296 28.651957 32.972670
2025-05-18 9.673632 12.759013 16.477831 21.252342 27.177643 34.244685 43.261737
2025-05-25 7.214438 10.509475 14.812437 20.758136 28.662147 38.699137 52.280985
2025-06-01 5.583569 8.869896 13.467680 20.225964 29.734073 42.436024 60.446725
2025-06-08 4.281903 7.379156 11.998504 19.181600 29.812657 44.662720 66.591211
2025-06-15 3.753010 6.921225 11.901576 20.006909 32.497249 50.567354 78.105659
2025-06-22 3.233984 6.368530 11.550583 20.354822 34.442548 55.493126 88.510194
2025-06-29 2.682498 5.648497 10.807902 19.957324 35.149434 58.575339 96.351622
2025-07-06 2.172938 4.899790 9.893615 19.135781 35.051435 60.356313 102.270465
2025-07-13 2.029233 4.821814 10.139229 20.299786 38.275324 67.504542 116.872190
2025-07-20 1.881148 4.705757 10.292018 21.299879 41.282262 74.473531 131.571735
2025-07-27 1.695672 4.474675 10.189769 21.810616 43.461979 80.201743 144.572633
2025-08-03 1.449856 4.084867 9.766816 21.763358 44.816086 84.930069 156.735364
2025-08-10 1.204307 3.644770 9.183665 21.357139 45.524917 88.699707 167.722717
2025-08-17 0.993928 3.236426 8.596082 20.856331 45.990809 92.060440 178.220541
2025-08-24 0.818478 2.870119 8.033778 20.321203 46.313445 95.153479 188.407446
2025-08-31 0.646288 2.459450 7.287118 19.272445 45.483732 96.039962 194.684549
2025-09-07 0.594442 2.394302 7.375139 20.101096 48.560790 104.417925 214.979888
2025-09-14 0.527182 2.260602 7.263955 20.450417 50.654453 111.044701 232.410127
2025-09-21 0.440607 2.033714 6.862642 20.051304 51.094970 114.478921 244.056696
2025-09-28 0.354378 1.775565 6.321333 19.226411 50.505257 115.813192 251.765716
2025-10-05 0.339641 1.785126 6.554133 20.395157 54.503124 126.619196 278.275172
2025-10-12 0.320658 1.772017 6.717045 21.399294 58.200034 137.014244 304.474718